@article{conflictforecastingviaconformalpredictio,
  title = {Conflict Forecasting via Conformal Prediction for Markov Processes},
  author = {Aditya Basarkar and Emmett B. Kendall and David Randahl and Jonathan P. Williams and Gudmund H. Hermansen},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2604.25139},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.25139},
}