@article{demystifyingdatadrivenprobabilisticmediu,
  title = {Demystifying Data-Driven Probabilistic Medium-Range Weather Forecasting},
  author = {Jean Kossaifi and Nikola Kovachki and Morteza Mardani and Daniel Leibovici and Suman Ravuri and Ira Shokar and Edoardo Calvello and Mohammad Shoaib Abbas and Peter Harrington and Ashay Subramaniam and Noah Brenowitz and Boris Bonev and Wonmin Byeon and Karsten Kreis and Dale Durran and Arash Vahdat and Mike Pritchard and Jan Kautz},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2601.18111},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.18111},
}