@article{earlyandaccuraterecessiondetectionusing,
  title = {Early and Accurate Recession Detection Using Classifiers on the Anticipation-Precision Frontier},
  author = {Pascal Michaillat},
  year = {2025},
  eprint = {2506.09664},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.09664v1},
}