@article{estimatingrealworldprobabilitiesaforward,
  title = {Estimating real-world probabilities: A forward-looking behavioral framework},
  author = {Ricardo Crisóstomo},
  year = {2020},
  eprint = {2012.09041},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.09041v2},
}