@article{forecastinggeopoliticaleventswithasparse, title = {Forecasting Geopolitical Events with a Sparse Temporal Fusion Transformer and Gaussian Process Hybrid: A Case Study in Middle Eastern and U.S. Conflict Dynamics}, author = {Hsin-Hsiung Huang and Hayden Hampton}, year = {2025}, eprint = {2506.20935}, archivePrefix = {arXiv}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.20935v1}, }