@article{fromheuristicstoanalyticsforecastingeffo,
  title = {From Heuristics to Analytics: Forecasting Effort and Progress in Online Learning},
  author = {Eric S. Qiu and Danielle R. Thomas and Boyuan Guo and Vincent Aleven and Conrad Borchers},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2605.12788},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12788},
}