@article{howmuchmoreprobableismuchmoreprobable,
  title = {How Much More Probable is "Much More Probable"? Verbal Expressions for Probability Updates},
  author = {Christopher Elsaesser and Max Henrion},
  year = {2013},
  eprint = {1304.1501},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.1501v1},
}