@article{llmsareoverconfidentevaluatingconfidence,
  title = {LLMs are Overconfident: Evaluating Confidence Interval Calibration with FermiEval},
  author = {Elliot L. Epstein and John Winnicki and Thanawat Sornwanee and Rajat Dwaraknath},
  year = {2025},
  eprint = {2510.26995},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.26995},
}