@article{mappingaibenchmarkdatatoquantitative, title = {Mapping AI Benchmark Data to Quantitative Risk Estimates Through Expert Elicitation}, author = {Malcolm Murray and Henry Papadatos and Otter Quarks and Pierre-François Gimenez and Simeon Campos}, year = {2025}, eprint = {2503.04299}, archivePrefix = {arXiv}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.04299v2}, }