@article{ontheprobabilityoffirstsuccessindifferen,
  title = {On the Probability of First Success in Differential Evolution: Hazard Identities and Tail Bounds},
  author = {Dimitar Nedanovski and Svetoslav Nenov and Dimitar Pilev},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2601.11499},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.11499},
}