@article{openestimateevaluatingllmsonreasoningund,
  title = {OpenEstimate: Evaluating LLMs on Reasoning Under Uncertainty with Real-World Data},
  author = {Alana Renda and Jillian Ross and Michael Cafarella and Jacob Andreas},
  year = {2025},
  eprint = {2510.15096},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.15096},
}