@article{polybenchbenchmarkingllmforecastingandtr,
  title = {PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data},
  author = {Pu Cheng and Juncheng Liu and Yunshen Long},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2604.14199},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14199},
}