@article{signaturekernelbasedevaluationmetricsfor,
  title = {Signature-Kernel Based Evaluation Metrics for Robust Probabilistic and Tail-Event Forecasting},
  author = {Benjamin R. Redhead and Thomas L. Lee and Peng Gu and Víctor Elvira and Amos Storkey},
  year = {2026},
  eprint = {2602.10182},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.10182},
}