@article{thresholdmartingalesandtheevolutionof,
  title = {Threshold Martingales and the Evolution of Forecasts},
  author = {Dean P. Foster and Robert A. Stine},
  year = {2021},
  eprint = {2105.06834},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.06834v1},
}