A control theory approach to optimal pandemic mitigation
In the framework of homogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) models, we use a control theory approach to identify optimal pandemic mitigation strategies. We derive rather general conditions for reaching herd immunity while minimizing the costs incurred by the introduction of societal control measures (such as closing schools, social distancing, lockdowns, etc.), under the constraint that the infected fraction of the population does never exceed a certain maximum corresponding to public health system capacity. Optimality is derived and verified by variational and numerical methods for a number of model cost functions. The effects of immune response decay after recovery are taken into account and discussed in terms of the feasibility of strategies based on herd immunity.
Code (0)
등록된 구현이 없습니다.
Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Modeling and Optimization of Epidemiological Control Policies Through Reinforcement Learning
Pandemics involve the high transmission of a disease that impacts global and local health and economic patterns. The impact of a pandemic can be minimized by enforcing certain restrictions on a community. However, while …
Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learningreinforcement-learningReinforcement LearningOptimal epidemic control by social distancing and vaccination of an infection structured by time since infection: the covid-19 case study
Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types…
Pandemic Control, Game Theory and Machine Learning
Game theory has been an effective tool in the control of disease spread and in suggesting optimal policies at both individual and area levels. In this AMS Notices article, we focus on the decision-making development for …
Decision MakingCovid-19 and Flattening the Curve: a Feedback Control Perspective
Many of the control policies that were put into place during the Covid-19 pandemic had a common goal: to flatten the curve of the number of infected people so that its peak remains under a critical threshold. This letter…
Surveillance of COVID-19 Pandemic using Social Media: A Reddit Study in North Carolina
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed various aspects of people's lives and behaviors. At this stage, there are no other ways to control the natural progression of the disease than adopting mitigation strat…
named-entity-recognitionNamed Entity RecognitionNamed Entity Recognition (NER)NER