paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

A minimal HIV-AIDS infection model with general incidence rate and application to Morocco data

2018-12-15

We study the global dynamics of a SICA infection model with general incidence rate. The proposed model is calibrated with cumulative cases of infection by HIV-AIDS in Morocco from 1986 to 2015. We first prove that our model is biologically and mathematically well-posed. Stability analysis of different steady states is performed and threshold parameters are identified where the model exhibits clearance of infection or maintenance of a chronic infection. Furthermore, we examine the robustness of the model to some parameter values by examining the sensitivity of the basic reproduction number. Finally, using numerical simulations with real data from Morocco, we show that the model predicts well such reality.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:1812.06965

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Sensitivity

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Optimally Targeting Interventions in Networks during a Pandemic: Theory and Evidence from the Networks of Nursing Homes in the United States

2021-10-19 · Roland Pongou, Guy Tchuente, Jean-Baptiste Tondji

This study develops an economic model for a social planner who prioritizes health over short-term wealth accumulation during a pandemic. Agents are connected through a weighted undirected network of contacts, and the pla…

Dynamics and Control of Infections on Social Networks

2016-02-23

Random mixing in host populations has been a convenient simplifying assumption in the study of epidemics, but neglects important differences in contact rates within and between population groups. For HIV/AIDS, the assump…

Epidemiology

Time Series Forecasting of HIV/AIDS in the Philippines Using Deep Learning: Does COVID-19 Epidemic Matter?

2024-01-11 · Sales G. Aribe Jr., Bobby D. Gerardo, Ruji P. Medina

With a 676% growth rate in HIV incidence between 2010 and 2021, the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the Philippines is the one that is spreading the quickest in the western Pacific. Although the full effects of COVID-19 on HIV serv…

Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting

Global Stability for a HIV/AIDS Model

2017-04-19

We investigate global stability properties of a HIV/AIDS population model with constant recruitment rate, mass action incidence, and variable population size. Existence and uniqueness results for disease-free and endemic…

model

A Machine Learning Model for Nowcasting Epidemic Incidence

2021-04-05 · Saumya Yashmohini Sahai, Saket Gurukar, Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh, Srinivasan Parthasarathy 외

Due to delay in reporting, the daily national and statewide COVID-19 incidence counts are often unreliable and need to be estimated from recent data. This process is known in economics as nowcasting. We describe in this …

BIG-bench Machine Learning