An efficient explicit approach for predicting the Covid-19 spreading with undetected infectious: The case of Cameroon
This paper considers an explicit numerical scheme for solving the mathematical model of the propagation of Covid-19 epidemic with undetected infectious cases. We analyze the stability and convergence rate of the new approach in $L^{\infty}$-norm. The proposed method is less time consuming. Furthermore, the method is stable, at least second-order convergent and can serve as a robust tool for the integration of general systems of ordinary differential equations. A wide set of numerical evidences which consider the case of Cameroon are presented and discussed.
Code (0)
등록된 구현이 없습니다.
Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Counting the uncounted : estimating the unaccounted COVID-19 infections in India
Undetected infectious populations have played a major role in the COVID-19 outbreak across the globe and estimation of this undetected class is a major concern in understanding the actual size of the COVID-19 infections.…
Solvable delay model for epidemic spreading: the case of Covid-19 in Italy
We study a simple realistic model for describing the diffusion of an infectious disease on a population of individuals. The dynamics is governed by a single functional delay differential equation, which, in the case of a…
EpidemiologyHow macroscopic laws describe complex dynamics: asymptomatic population and CoviD-19 spreading
Macroscopic growth laws, solutions of mean field equations, describe in an effective way an underlying complex dynamics. They are applied to study the spreading of infections, as in the case of CoviD-19, where the counti…
Time Series AnalysisScreening for an Infectious Disease as a Problem in Stochastic Control
There has been much recent interest in screening populations for an infectious disease. Here, we present a stochastic-control model, wherein the optimum screening policy is provably difficult to find, but wherein Thompso…
Thompson SamplingCoronavirus Covid-19 spreading in Italy: optimizing an epidemiological model with dynamic social distancing through Differential Evolution
The aim of this paper consists in the application of a recent epidemiological model, namely SEIR with Social Distancing (SEIR--SD), extended here through the definition of a social distancing function varying over time, …