An ontological investigation of unimaginable events
We show that, under mild assumptions, some unimaginable events - which we refer to as Black Swan events - must necessarily occur. It follows as a corollary of our theorem that any computational model of decision-making under uncertainty is incomplete in the sense that not all events that occur can be taken into account. In the context of decision theory we argue that this constitutes a stronger sense of uncertainty than Knightian uncertainty.
Code (0)
등록된 구현이 없습니다.
Tasks
Decision MakingDecision Making Under UncertaintySimilar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Family of Two Dimensional Transition Metal Dichlorides Fundamental Properties, Structural Defects, and Environmental Stability
A large number of novel two-dimensional (2D) materials are constantly discovered and deposed into the databases. Consolidate implementation of machine learning algorithms and density functional theory (DFT) based predict…
On Coreferring Text-extracted Event Descriptions with the aid of Ontological Reasoning
Systems for automatic extraction of semantic information about events from large textual resources are now available: these tools are capable to generate RDF datasets about text extracted events and this knowledge can be…
MAECO-Lite: Modular Ontology for Dynamic Malware Analysis
Capturing dynamic malware behavior in a practical but still semantically precise manner remains a significant challenge in cyber threat intelligence. While standards such as MAEC and STIX provide widely adopted vocabular…
Semantically-informed Hierarchical Event Modeling
Prior work has shown that coupling sequential latent variable models with semantic ontological knowledge can improve the representational capabilities of event modeling approaches. In this work, we present a novel, doubl…
To Be or Not To Be: Vector ontologies as a truly formal ontological framework
Since Edmund Husserl coined the term "Formal Ontologies" in the early 20th century, a field that identifies itself with this particular branch of sciences has gained increasing attention. Many authors, and even Husserl h…