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Analyzing Machine Learning Models for Credit Scoring with Explainable AI and Optimizing Investment Decisions

2022-09-19 · Swati Tyagi

This paper examines two different yet related questions related to explainable AI (XAI) practices. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly important in financial services, such as pre-approval, credit underwriting, investments, and various front-end and back-end activities. Machine Learning can automatically detect non-linearities and interactions in training data, facilitating faster and more accurate credit decisions. However, machine learning models are opaque and hard to explain, which are critical elements needed for establishing a reliable technology. The study compares various machine learning models, including single classifiers (logistic regression, decision trees, LDA, QDA), heterogeneous ensembles (AdaBoost, Random Forest), and sequential neural networks. The results indicate that ensemble classifiers and neural networks outperform. In addition, two advanced post-hoc model agnostic explainability techniques - LIME and SHAP are utilized to assess ML-based credit scoring models using the open-access datasets offered by US-based P2P Lending Platform, Lending Club. For this study, we are also using machine learning algorithms to develop new investment models and explore portfolio strategies that can maximize profitability while minimizing risk.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2209.09362

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Tasks

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)

Methods 이 논문이 사용한 방법론

SHAP 설명 없음
LIME LIME, or Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations, is an algorithm that can explain the predictions of any classifier or regressor in a faithful way, by…
LDA Linear discriminant analysis (LDA), normal discriminant analysis (NDA), or discriminant function analysis is a generalization of Fisher's linear discriminant, a method used in…

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