paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

Bayesian semi-supervised learning for uncertainty-calibrated prediction of molecular properties and active learning

2019-02-03 · Yao Zhang, Alpha A. Lee

Predicting bioactivity and physical properties of small molecules is a central challenge in drug discovery. Deep learning is becoming the method of choice but studies to date focus on mean accuracy as the main metric. However, to replace costly and mission-critical experiments by models, a high mean accuracy is not enough: Outliers can derail a discovery campaign, thus models need reliably predict when it will fail, even when the training data is biased; experiments are expensive, thus models need to be data-efficient and suggest informative training sets using active learning. We show that uncertainty quantification and active learning can be achieved by Bayesian semi-supervised graph convolutional neural networks. The Bayesian approach estimates uncertainty in a statistically principled way through sampling from the posterior distribution. Semi-supervised learning disentangles representation learning and regression, keeping uncertainty estimates accurate in the low data limit and allowing the model to start active learning from a small initial pool of training data. Our study highlights the promise of Bayesian deep learning for chemistry.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:1902.00925

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Active LearningDrug DiscoveryRepresentation LearningUncertainty Quantification

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

On Calibrated Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning

2022-06-15 · Biraja Ghoshal, Allan Tucker

Estimated uncertainty by approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks are prone to miscalibration, which leads to overconfident predictions in critical tasks that have a clear asymmetric cost or significant losses.…

Deep LearningDiagnosticmodelPrediction

Bayesian--AI Fusion for Epidemiological Decision Making: Calibrated Risk, Honest Uncertainty, and Hyperparameter Intelligence

2025-11-15 · Debashis Chatterjee arxiv

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed…

Hyperparameter OptimizationDecision Making

Frequentist Consistency of Prior-Data Fitted Networks for Causal Inference

2026-03-12 · Valentyn Melnychuk, Vahid Balazadeh, Stefan Feuerriegel, Rahul G. Krishnan arxiv

Foundation models based on prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have shown strong empirical performance in causal inference by framing the task as an in-context learning problem. However, it is unclear whether PFN-based cau…

Causal Inference

Semi-supervised Impedance Inversion by Bayesian Neural Network Based on 2-d CNN Pre-training

2021-11-20 · Muyang Ge, Wenlong Wang, Wangxiangming Zheng

Seismic impedance inversion can be performed with a semi-supervised learning algorithm, which only needs a few logs as labels and is less likely to get overfitted. However, classical semi-supervised learning algorithm us…

Bayesian Inference

Double-Uncertainty Weighted Method for Semi-supervised Learning

2020-10-19 · Yixin Wang, Yao Zhang, Jiang Tian, Cheng Zhong 외

Though deep learning has achieved advanced performance recently, it remains a challenging task in the field of medical imaging, as obtaining reliable labeled training data is time-consuming and expensive. In this paper, …

Segmentation