Cancer Risk Messages: A Light Bulb Model
The meaning of public messages such as "One in x people gets cancer" or "One in y people gets cancer by age z" can be improved. One assumption commonly invoked is that there is no other cause of death, a confusing assumption. We develop a light bulb model to clarify cumulative risk and we use Markov chain modeling, incorporating the assumption widely in place, to evaluate transition probabilities. Age-progression in the cancer risk is then reported on Australian data. Future modelling can elicit realistic assumptions.
Code (0)
등록된 구현이 없습니다.
Tasks
modelSimilar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Cancer Risk Messages: Public Health and Economic Welfare
Statements for public health purposes such as "1 in 2 will get cancer by age 85" have appeared in public spaces. The meaning drawn from such statements affects economic welfare, not just public health. Both markets and g…
An FPGA-based centralized visible light beacon network
Indoor localization systems based on Visible Light Communication (VLC) have shown promising advantages compared with systems based on other wireless technologies. In these systems, many VLC light-emitting diode (LED) anc…
Indoor LocalizationCheryl's Birthday
We present four logic puzzles and after that their solutions. Joseph Yeo designed 'Cheryl's Birthday'. Mike Hartley came up with a novel solution for 'One Hundred Prisoners and a Light Bulb'. Jonathan Welton designed 'A …
RL-IoT: Reinforcement Learning to Interact with IoT Devices
Our life is getting filled by Internet of Things (IoT) devices. These devices often rely on closed or poorly documented protocols, with unknown formats and semantics. Learning how to interact with such devices in an auto…
reinforcement-learningReinforcement LearningReinforcement Learning (RL)Computational Imaging on the Electric Grid
Night beats with alternating current (AC) illumination. By passively sensing this beat, we reveal new scene information which includes: the type of bulbs in the scene, the phases of the electric grid up to city scale, an…