Diffusion-assisted Model Predictive Control Optimization for Power System Real-Time Operation

2025-05-13 · Linna Xu, Yongli Zhu

This paper presents a modified model predictive control (MPC) framework for real-time power system operation. The framework incorporates a diffusion model tailored for time series generation to enhance the accuracy of the load forecasting module used in the system operation. In the absence of explicit state transition law, a model-identification procedure is leveraged to derive the system dynamics, thereby eliminating a barrier when applying MPC to a renewables-dominated power system. Case study results on an industry park system and the IEEE 30-bus system demonstrate that using the diffusion model to augment the training dataset significantly improves load-forecasting accuracy, and the inferred system dynamics are applicable to the real-time grid operation with solar and wind.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2505.08535

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Load ForecastingModel Predictive ControlTime SeriesTime Series Generation

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