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Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022

2022-07-27 · Giorgio Guzzetta, Alessia Mammone, Federica Ferraro, Anna Caraglia, Alessia Rapiti, Valentina Marziano, Piero Poletti, Danilo Cereda, Francesco Vairo, Giovanna Mattei, Francesco Maraglino, Giovanni Rezza, Stefano Merler

We analyzed the first 255 PCR-confirmed cases of monkeypox occurred in Italy in 2022. Preliminary estimates indicate: mean incubation period of 9.1 days (95%CI of the mean: 6.5-10.9); mean generation time of 12.5 days (95%CI of the mean: 7.5-17.3); reproduction number in the MSM community of 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.26).

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2207.13483

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