paper-with-me

Papers

Enhancing Conformal Prediction Using E-Test Statistics

2024-03-28 · A. A. Balinsky, A. D. Balinsky

Conformal Prediction (CP) serves as a robust framework that quantifies uncertainty in predictions made by Machine Learning (ML) models. Unlike traditional point predictors, CP generates statistically valid prediction regions, also known as prediction intervals, based on the assumption of data exchangeability. Typically, the construction of conformal predictions hinges on p-values. This paper, however, ventures down an alternative path, harnessing the power of e-test statistics to augment the efficacy of conformal predictions by introducing a BB-predictor (bounded from the below predictor).

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2403.19082

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Conformal PredictionPredictionPrediction Intervalsvalid

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Exchangeability, Conformal Prediction, and Rank Tests

2020-05-13 · Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Conformal prediction has been a very popular method of distribution-free predictive inference in recent years in machine learning and statistics. Its popularity stems from the fact that it works as a wrapper around any p…

BIG-bench Machine LearningConformal PredictionDimensionality ReductionPrediction

Enhancement of prediction algorithms by betting

2021-05-18 · Vladimir Vovk

This note proposes a procedure for enhancing the quality of probabilistic prediction algorithms via betting against their predictions. It is inspired by the success of the conformal test martingales that have been develo…

Prediction

Conformal Risk Control

2022-08-04 · Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Stephen Bates, Adam Fisch, Lihua Lei 외

We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the confor…

Conformal PredictionPrediction

Domain-Shift-Aware Conformal Prediction for Large Language Models

2025-10-07 · Zhexiao Lin, Yuanyuan Li, Neeraj Sarna, Yuanyuan Gao 외 arxiv

Large language models have achieved impressive performance across diverse tasks. However, their tendency to produce overconfident and factually incorrect outputs, known as hallucinations, poses risks in real-world applic…

Non-exchangeable Conformal Prediction with Optimal Transport: Tackling Distribution Shifts with Unlabeled Data

2025-07-14 · Alvaro H. C. Correia, Christos Louizos arxiv

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dub…