FlexTSF: A Universal Forecasting Model for Time Series with Variable Regularities
Developing a foundation model for time series forecasting across diverse domains has attracted significant attention in recent years. Existing works typically assume regularly sampled, well-structured data, limiting their applicability to more generalized scenarios where time series often contain missing values, unequal sequence lengths, and irregular time intervals between measurements. To cover diverse domains and handle variable regularities, we propose FlexTSF, a universal time series forecasting model that possesses better generalization and natively support both regular and irregular time series. FlexTSF produces forecasts in an autoregressive manner and incorporates three novel designs: VT-Norm, a normalization strategy to ablate data domain barriers, IVP Patcher, a patching module to learn representations from flexibly structured time series, and LED attention, an attention mechanism to seamlessly integrate these two and propagate forecasts with awareness of domain and time information. Experiments on 12 datasets show that FlexTSF outperforms state-of-the-art forecasting models respectively designed for regular and irregular time series. Furthermore, after self-supervised pre-training, FlexTSF shows exceptional performance in both zero-shot and few-show settings for time series forecasting.
Code (1)
Tasks
Irregular Time SeriesMissing ValuesTime SeriesTime Series ForecastingMethods 이 논문이 사용한 방법론
Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Timer-XL: Long-Context Transformers for Unified Time Series Forecasting
We present Timer-XL, a generative Transformer for unified time series forecasting. To uniformly predict 1D and 2D time series, we generalize next token prediction, predominantly adopted for causal generation of 1D sequen…
Time SeriesTime Series ForecastingUnified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformers
Deep learning for time series forecasting has traditionally operated within a one-model-per-dataset framework, limiting its potential to leverage the game-changing impact of large pre-trained models. The concept of unive…
Time SeriesTime Series ForecastingSignals, Concepts, and Laws: Toward Universal, Explainable Time-Series Forecasting
Accurate, explainable and physically credible forecasting remains a persistent challenge for multivariate time-series whose statistical properties vary across domains. We propose DORIC, a Domain-Universal, ODE-Regularize…
Cross-LKTCN: Modern Convolution Utilizing Cross-Variable Dependency for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Dependency for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
The past few years have witnessed the rapid development in multivariate time series forecasting. The key to accurate forecasting results is capturing the long-term dependency between each time step (cross-time dependency…
Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime SeriesTime Series ForecastingFDNet: Focal Decomposed Network for Efficient, Robust and Practical Time Series Forecasting
This paper presents FDNet: a Focal Decomposed Network for efficient, robust and practical time series forecasting. We break away from conventional deep time series forecasting formulas which obtain prediction results fro…
Inductive BiasTime SeriesTime Series Forecasting