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Geographic Diversity Beats Data Volume for Cross-Domain Generalization in Zero-Label JEPA Driving World Models

Self-supervised latent world models can assign a surprise score to driving scenarios without any human labels. A natural follow-up question is whether such a model, trained on driving data from one geographic region, can generalize its notion of complexity to unseen cities and sensor configurations. We study this question through a controlled transfer experiment: we train JEPA-based world models on nuPlan data (Pittsburgh, Boston, Singapore) and evaluate zero-shot on held-out Argoverse 2 validation scenarios from Miami and Austin. We find that models trained on geographically diverse data generalize significantly better than models trained on equal amounts of single-geography data. In a matched-scale ablation at 63,000 scenarios per condition (n=3 seeds each), combined training reduces mean surprise score by 16.5% relative to nuPlan-only training (0.228 +/- 0.015 vs 0.273 +/- 0.008). Notably, training on 200,000 AV2-only scenarios (3x more data from one geography) still produces higher surprise (0.264) than the combined 63K model, suggesting that geographic diversity is a stronger predictor of cross-domain generalization than raw data volume.

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