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Graph Vector Field: A Unified Framework for Multimodal Health Risk Assessment from Heterogeneous Wearable and Environmental Data Streams

Digital health research has advanced dynamic graph-based disease models, topological learning on simplicial complexes, and multimodal mixture-of-experts architectures, but these strands remain largely disconnected. We propose Graph Vector Field (GVF), a framework that models health risk as a vector-valued field on time-varying simplicial complexes, coupling discrete differential-geometric operators with modality-structured mixture-of-experts. Risk is represented as a vector-valued cochain whose evolution is parameterised with Hodge Laplacians and discrete exterior calculus operators, yielding a Helmholtz-Hodge decomposition into potential-driven (exact), circulation-like (coexact), and topologically constrained (harmonic) components linked to interpretable propagation, cyclic, and persistent risk mechanisms. Multimodal inputs from wearable sensors, behavioural/environmental context, and clinical/genomic data are incorporated through a bundle-structured mixture-of-experts in which modality-specific latent spaces are attached as fibres to the base complex. This separates modality-specific from shared contributions and offers a principled route toward modality-level identifiability. GVF integrates geometric dynamical systems, higher-order topology (enforced indirectly via geometric regularisation and Hodge decomposition), and structured multimodal fusion into a single framework for interpretable, modality-resolved risk modelling. This paper develops the mathematical foundations, architectural design, and formal guarantees; empirical validation is the subject of ongoing work.

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