paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

High-Dimensional Markov-switching Ordinary Differential Processes

2024-12-30 · Katherine Tsai, Mladen Kolar, Sanmi Koyejo

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological systems, control systems, and other domains; however, limited research has been conducted on reconstructing the generating processes from observations. In contrast, many physical systems, such as human brains, cannot be directly experimented upon and rely on observations to infer the underlying systems. To address this gap, this manuscript presents a comprehensive study of the model, encompassing algorithm design, optimization guarantees, and quantification of statistical errors. Specifically, we develop a two-stage algorithm that first recovers the continuous sample path from discrete samples and then estimates the parameters of the processes. We provide novel theoretical insights into the statistical error and linear convergence guarantee when the processes are $\beta$-mixing. Our analysis is based on the truncation of the latent posterior processes and demonstrates that the truncated processes approximate the true processes under mixing conditions. We apply this model to investigate the differences in resting-state brain networks between the ADHD group and normal controls, revealing differences in the transition rate matrices of the two groups.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2501.00087

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Additive models

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Neural Markov Jump Processes

2023-05-31 · Patrick Seifner, Ramses J. Sanchez

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typi…

Variational Inference

Entropy-Regularized Reinforcement Learning for Linear-Quadratic Stackelberg Differential Games in Regime-Switching Diffusion Models

2026-06-27 · Congde Hu, Danping Li, Lin Xu, Wenying Xu arxiv

Stackelberg differential games (SDGs) provide a powerful framework for hierarchical decision-making in stochastic and continuous-time environments, yet their solution remains computationally challenging due to the comple…

Reinforcement Learning

Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Continuous-Time Switching Dynamical Systems

2022-05-18 · Lukas Köhs, Bastian Alt, Heinz Koeppl

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time…

parameter estimationTime SeriesTime Series AnalysisVariational Inference

Parameters Inference for Nonlinear Wave Equations with Markovian Switching

2024-08-12 · Yi Zhang, Zhikun Zhang, Xiangjun Wang

Traditional partial differential equations with constant coefficients often struggle to capture abrupt changes in real-world phenomena, leading to the development of variable coefficient PDEs and Markovian switching mode…

parameter estimation

Parameter-varying neural ordinary differential equations with partition-of-unity networks

2022-10-01 · Kookjin Lee, Nathaniel Trask

In this study, we propose parameter-varying neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) where the evolution of model parameters is represented by partition-of-unity networks (POUNets), a mixture of experts architectur…

Mixture-of-ExpertsUnity