$\mathtt{emuflow}$: Normalising Flows for Joint Cosmological Analysis
Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one complication in doing so is the need to marginalise over large-dimensional parameter models describing the data of each experiment. These include both the relatively small number of cosmological parameters of interest and a large number of "nuisance" parameters. Sampling over the joint parameter space for multiple experiments can thus become a very computationally expensive operation. This can be significantly simplified if one could sample directly from the marginal cosmological posterior distribution of preceding experiments, depending only on the common set of cosmological parameters. In this paper, we show that this can be achieved by emulating marginal posterior distributions via normalising flows. The resulting trained normalising flow models can be used to efficiently combine cosmological constraints from independent datasets without increasing the dimensionality of the parameter space under study. We show that the method is able to accurately describe the posterior distribution of real cosmological datasets, as well as the joint distribution of different datasets, even when significant tension exists between experiments. The resulting joint constraints can be obtained in a fraction of the time it would take to combine the same datasets at the level of their likelihoods. We construct normalising flow models for a set of public cosmological datasets of general interests and make them available, together with the software used to train them, and to exploit them in cosmological parameter inference.
Code (1)
Tasks
Normalising FlowsMethods 이 논문이 사용한 방법론
Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Conformalised Conditional Normalising Flows for Joint Prediction Regions in time series
Conformal Prediction offers a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, enabling the construction of prediction sets with finite-sample validity guarantees. While easily adaptable to non-…
Conformal PredictionNormalising FlowsPredictionTime Series+1Text-free non-parallel many-to-many voice conversion using normalising flows
Non-parallel voice conversion (VC) is typically achieved using lossy representations of the source speech. However, ensuring only speaker identity information is dropped whilst all other information from the source speec…
Normalising FlowsSpeech Synthesistext-to-speechText to Speech+2Relaxing Bijectivity Constraints with Continuously Indexed Normalising Flows
We show that normalising flows become pathological when used to model targets whose supports have complicated topologies. In this scenario, we prove that a flow must become arbitrarily numerically noninvertible in order …
Density EstimationNormalising FlowsJAPAN: Joint Adaptive Prediction Areas with Normalising-Flows
Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic framework for uncertainty quantification with finite-sample validity guarantees, making it an attractive tool for constructing reliable prediction sets. However, existing ap…
Conformal PredictionNormalising FlowsPredictionUncertainty QuantificationSinusoidal Flow: A Fast Invertible Autoregressive Flow
Normalising flows offer a flexible way of modelling continuous probability distributions. We consider expressiveness, fast inversion and exact Jacobian determinant as three desirable properties a normalising flow should …
Normalising Flows