paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

MuPlon: Multi-Path Causal Optimization for Claim Verification through Controlling Confounding

2025-09-30 · Hanghui Guo, Shimin Di, Pasquale De Meo, Zhangze Chen, Jia Zhu arxiv

As a critical task in data quality control, claim verification aims to curb the spread of misinformation by assessing the truthfulness of claims based on a wide range of evidence. However, traditional methods often overlook the complex interactions between evidence, leading to unreliable verification results. A straightforward solution represents the claim and evidence as a fully connected graph, which we define as the Claim-Evidence Graph (C-E Graph). Nevertheless, claim verification methods based on fully connected graphs face two primary confounding challenges, Data Noise and Data Biases. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework, Multi-Path Causal Optimization (MuPlon). MuPlon integrates a dual causal intervention strategy, consisting of the back-door path and front-door path. In the back-door path, MuPlon dilutes noisy node interference by optimizing node probability weights, while simultaneously strengthening the connections between relevant evidence nodes. In the front-door path, MuPlon extracts highly relevant subgraphs and constructs reasoning paths, further applying counterfactual reasoning to eliminate data biases within these paths. The experimental results demonstrate that MuPlon outperforms existing methods and achieves state-of-the-art performance.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2509.25715

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Causal Inference through a Witness Protection Program

2014-06-02 · NeurIPS 2014 12 · Ricardo Silva, Robin Evans

One of the most fundamental problems in causal inference is the estimation of a causal effect when variables are confounded. This is difficult in an observational study, because one has no direct evidence that all confou…

Bayesian InferenceCausal Inference

Causal Claims in Economics

2025-01-12 · Prashant Garg, Thiemo Fetzer

We analyze over 44,000 NBER and CEPR working papers from 1980 to 2023 using a custom language model to construct knowledge graphs that map economic concepts and their relationships. We distinguish between general claims …

Causal InferenceKnowledge Graphs

Investigating Counterclaims in Causality Extraction from Text

2025-10-09 · Tim Hagen, Niklas Deckers, Felix Wolter, Harrisen Scells 외 arxiv

Many causal claims, such as "sugar causes hyperactivity," are disputed or outdated. Yet research on causality extraction from text has almost entirely neglected counterclaims of causation. To close this gap, we conduct a…

COPO: Causal-Oriented Policy Optimization for Hallucinations of MLLMs

2025-08-06 · Peizheng Guo, Jingyao Wang, Wenwen Qiang, Jiahuan Zhou 외 arxiv

Despite Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) having shown impressive capabilities, they may suffer from hallucinations. Empirically, we find that MLLMs attend disproportionately to task-irrelevant background regions …

Measuring Correlation-to-Causation Exaggeration in Press Releases

2020-12-01 · COLING 2020 8 · Bei Yu, Jun Wang, Lu Guo, Yingya Li

Press releases have an increasingly strong influence on media coverage of health research; however, they have been found to contain seriously exaggerated claims that can misinform the public and undermine public trust in…