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On the numerical approximation of minimax regret rules via fictitious play

2025-03-13 · Patrik Guggenberger, Jiaqi Huang

Finding numerical approximations to minimax regret treatment rules is of key interest. To do so when potential outcomes are in {0,1} we discretize the action space of nature and apply a variant of Robinson's (1951) algorithm for iterative solutions for finite two-person zero sum games. Our approach avoids the need to evaluate regret of each treatment rule in each iteration. When potential outcomes are in [0,1] we apply the so-called coarsening approach. We consider a policymaker choosing between two treatments after observing data with unequal sample sizes per treatment and the case of testing several innovations against the status quo.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2503.10932

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