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PDSim: A Shiny App for Polynomial Diffusion Model Simulation and Estimation

2024-09-28 · Peilun He, Nino Kordzakhia, Gareth W. Peters, Pavel V. Shevchenko

PDSim is an R package that enables users to simulate commodity futures prices using the polynomial diffusion model introduced in Filipovic and Larsson (2016) through both a Shiny web application and R scripts. It also provides state variables and contract estimations via the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) or Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF). With its user-friendly interface, PDSim makes the features of simulations and estimations accessible to all users. To date, it is the only package specifically designed for the simulation and estimation of the polynomial diffusion model. Additionally, the package integrates the Schwartz and Smith two-factor model (Schwartz & Smith, 2000) as an alternative approach. PDSim offers versatile deployment options, including running locally, via the Shiny server, or through Docker.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2409.19385

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Diffusion Diffusion models generate samples by gradually removing noise from a signal, and their training objective can be expressed as a reweighted variational lower-bound…

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