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QuaCK-TSF: Quantum-Classical Kernelized Time Series Forecasting

2024-08-21 · Abdallah Aaraba, Soumaya Cherkaoui, Ola Ahmad, Jean-Frédéric Laprade, Olivier Nahman-Lévesque, Alexis Vieloszynski, Shengrui Wang

Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine learning technique adept at addressing this multifaceted challenge. This paper introduces a novel approach that blends the robustness of this Bayesian technique with the nuanced insights provided by the kernel perspective on quantum models, aimed at advancing quantum kernelized probabilistic forecasting. We incorporate a quantum feature map inspired by Ising interactions and demonstrate its effectiveness in capturing the temporal dependencies critical for precise forecasting. The optimization of our model's hyperparameters circumvents the need for computationally intensive gradient descent by employing gradient-free Bayesian optimization. Comparative benchmarks against established classical kernel models are provided, affirming that our quantum-enhanced approach achieves competitive performance.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2408.12007

Code (1)

abdo-aar/quack-tsf 공식 구현 pytorch

Tasks

Bayesian OptimizationTime SeriesTime Series Forecasting

Methods 이 논문이 사용한 방법론

Gaussian Process Gaussian Processes are non-parametric models for approximating functions. They rely upon a measure of similarity between points (the kernel function) to predict the value for…

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