paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

Resolution of the St. Petersburg paradox using Von Mises axiom of randomness

2019-06-27

In this article we will propose a completely new point of view for solving one of the most important paradoxes concerning game theory. The solution develop shifts the focus from the result to the strategy s ability to operate in a cognitive way by exploiting useful information about the system. In order to determine from a mathematical point of view if a strategy is cognitive, we use Von Mises' axiom of randomness. Based on this axiom, the knowledge of useful information consequently generates results that cannot be reproduced randomly. Useful information in this case may be seen as a significant datum for the recipient, for their present or future decision-making process. Finally, by resolving the paradox from this new point of view, we will demonstrate that an expected gain that tends toward infinity is not always a consequence of a cognitive and non-random strategy. Therefore, this result leads us to define a hierarchy of values in decision-making, where the cognitive aspect, whose statistical consequence is a divergence from random behaviour, turns out to be more important than the expected gain.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:1907.11054

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Decision Making

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Relative Net Utility and the Saint Petersburg Paradox

2019-10-21 · Daniel Muller, Tshilidzi Marwala

The famous Saint Petersburg Paradox (St. Petersburg Paradox) shows that the theory of expected value does not capture the real-world economics of decision-making problems. Over the years, many economic theories were deve…

Decision Making

A New Pricing Theory That Solves the St. Petersburg Paradox

2020-02-11 · Dahang Li

The St. Petersburg Paradox, an important topic in probability theory, has not been solved in the last 280 years. Since Nicolaus Bernoulli proposed the St. Petersburg Paradox in 1738, many people had tried to solve it and…

Absorption and Inertness in Coarse-Grained Arithmetic: A Heuristic Application to the St. Petersburg Paradox

2025-07-05 · Takashi Izumo arxiv

The St. Petersburg paradox presents a longstanding challenge in decision theory: its classical expected value diverges, yet no correspondingly large finite stake is typically regarded as rational. Traditional responses i…

Resolving Zadehs Paradox Axiomatic Possibility Theory as a Foundation for Reliable Artificial Intelligence

2025-12-04 · Bychkov Oleksii, Bychkova Sophia, Lytvynchuk Khrystyna arxiv

This work advances and substantiates the thesis that the resolution of this crisis lies in the domain of possibility theory, specifically in the axiomatic approach developed in Bychkovs article. Unlike numerous attempts …

The Role of Time in Making Risky Decisions and the Function of Choice

2015-12-27

The prospects of Kahneman and Tversky, Mega Million and Powerball lotteries, St. Petersburg paradox, premature profits and growing losses criticized by Livermore are reviewed under an angle of view comparing mathematical…