paper-with-me

홈 › Papers

Riding Wavelets: A Method to Discover New Classes of Price Jumps

2024-04-25 · Cecilia Aubrun, Rudy Morel, Michael Benzaquen, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Cascades of events and extreme occurrences have garnered significant attention across diverse domains such as financial markets, seismology, and social physics. Such events can stem either from the internal dynamics inherent to the system (endogenous), or from external shocks (exogenous). The possibility of separating these two classes of events has critical implications for professionals in those fields. We introduce an unsupervised framework leveraging a representation of jump time-series based on wavelet coefficients and apply it to stock price jumps. In line with previous work, we recover the fact that the time-asymmetry of volatility is a major feature. Mean-reversion and trend are found to be two additional key features, allowing us to identify new classes of jumps. Furthermore, thanks to our wavelet-based representation, we investigate the reflexive properties of co-jumps, which occur when multiple stocks experience price jumps within the same minute. We argue that a significant fraction of co-jumps results from an endogenous contagion mechanism.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2404.16467

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Time Series

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

Exogenous and Endogenous Price Jumps Belong to Different Dynamical Classes

2021-06-13 · Riccardo Marcaccioli, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Michael Benzaquen

Synchronising a database of stock specific news with 5 years worth of order book data on 300 stocks, we show that abnormal price movements following news releases (exogenous) exhibit markedly different dynamical features…

Sluggish news reactions: A combinatorial approach for synchronizing stock jumps

2023-09-27 · Nabil Bouamara, Kris Boudt, Sébastien Laurent, Christopher J. Neely

Stock prices often react sluggishly to news, producing gradual jumps and jump delays. Econometricians typically treat these sluggish reactions as microstructure effects and settle for a coarse sampling grid to guard agai…

Hedging in a market with jumps - an FBSDE approach

2017-08-30

We propose a model for hedging in a market with jumps for a large investor. The dynamics of the stock prices and the value process is governed by forward-backward SDEs driven by Teugels martingales. Unlike known FBSDE ma…

From quantum mechanics to finance: Microfoundations for jumps, spikes and high volatility phases in diffusion price processes

2016-10-17

We present an agent behavior based microscopic model that induces jumps, spikes and high volatility phases in the price process of a traded asset. We transfer dynamics of thermally activated jumps of an unexcited/ excite…

A Self-Exciting Modelling Framework for Forward Prices in Power Markets

2019-10-29

We propose and investigate two model classes for forward power price dynamics, based on continuous branching processes with immigration, and on Hawkes processes with exponential kernel, respectively. The models proposed …

Clustering