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Simulating counterfactuals

2023-06-27 · Juha Karvanen, Santtu Tikka, Matti Vihola

Counterfactual inference considers a hypothetical intervention in a parallel world that shares some evidence with the factual world. If the evidence specifies a conditional distribution on a manifold, counterfactuals may be analytically intractable. We present an algorithm for simulating values from a counterfactual distribution where conditions can be set on both discrete and continuous variables. We show that the proposed algorithm can be presented as a particle filter leading to asymptotically valid inference. The algorithm is applied to fairness analysis in credit-scoring.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2306.15328

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juhakarvanen/simulating_counterfactuals 공식 구현

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counterfactualCounterfactual InferenceFairnessvalid

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