Smoothing Nonlinear Variational Objectives with Sequential Monte Carlo
The task of recovering nonlinear dynamics and latent structure from a population recording is a challenging problem in statistical neuroscience motivating the development of novel techniques in time series analysis. Recent work has focused on connections between Variational Inference and Sequential Monte Carlo for performing inference and parameter estimation on sequential data. Inspired by this work, we present a framework to develop Smoothed Variational Objectives (SVOs) that condition proposal distributions on the full time-ordered sequence of observations. SVO maintains both expressiveness and tractability by sharing parameters of the transition function between the proposal and target. We apply the method to several dimensionality reduction/expansion tasks and examine the dynamics learned with a quantitative metric. SVO performs favorably against the state of the art.
Code (0)
등록된 구현이 없습니다.
Tasks
Dimensionality Reductionparameter estimationTime SeriesTime Series AnalysisVariational InferenceSimilar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Particle Smoothing Variational Objectives
A body of recent work has focused on constructing a variational family of filtered distributions using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC). Inspired by this work, we introduce Particle Smoothing Variational Objectives (SVO), a …
DiversityEnsemble Kalman Variational Objectives: Nonlinear Latent Trajectory Inference with A Hybrid of Variational Inference and Ensemble Kalman Filter
Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants,…
DiversityState Space ModelsTime SeriesTime Series Analysis+1SIXO: Smoothing Inference with Twisted Objectives
Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is an inference algorithm for state space models that approximates the posterior by sampling from a sequence of target distributions. The target distributions are often chosen to be the filte…
Density Ratio EstimationState Space ModelsVariational Marginal Particle Filters
Variational inference for state space models (SSMs) is known to be hard in general. Recent works focus on deriving variational objectives for SSMs from unbiased sequential Monte Carlo estimators. We reveal that the margi…
State Space ModelsVariational InferenceAmortized backward variational inference in nonlinear state-space models
We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribu…
State EstimationState Space ModelsVariational Inference