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The Impact of Time Delay on Mutant Fixation in Evolutionary Games

Evolutionary game theory examines how strategies spread and persist in populations through reproduction and imitation based on their fitness. Traditionally, models assume instantaneous dynamics where fitness depends on the current population state. However, some real-world processes unfold over time, with outcomes emerging from history. This motivates incorporating time delays into evolutionary game models, where fitness relies on the past. We study the impact of time delays on mutant fixation in a Moran Birth-death process with two strategies in a well-mixed population. At each time step of the process, an individual reproduces proportionally to fitness coming from the past. We model this as an absorbing Markov chain, allowing computational calculation of the fixation probability and time. We focus on three important games: the Stag-Hunt, Snowdrift, and Prisoner's Dilemma. We will show time delays reduce the fixation probability in the Stag-Hunt and the Prisoner's Dilemma but increase it in the Snowdrift. For the Stag-Hunt and the Prisoner's Dilemma, time delays lengthen the fixation time until a critical point, then reduce it. The Snowdrift exhibits the opposite trend.

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