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Verification and Validation of Physics-Informed Surrogate Component Models for Dynamic Power-System Simulation

2026-03-18 · Petros Ellinas, Indrajit Chaudhuri, Johanna Vorwerk, Spyros Chatzivasileiadis arxiv

Physics-informed machine learning surrogates are increasingly explored to accelerate dynamic simulation of generators, converters, and other power grid components. The key question, however, is not only whether a surrogate matches a stand-alone component model on average, but whether it remains accurate after insertion into a differential-algebraic simulator, where the surrogate outputs enter the algebraic equations coupling the component to the rest of the system. This paper formulates that in-simulator use as a verification and validation (V\&V) problem. A finite-horizon bound is derived that links allowable component-output error to algebraic-coupling sensitivity, dynamic error amplification, and the simulation horizon. Two complementary settings are then studied: model-based verification against a reference component solver, and data-based validation through conformal calibration of the component-output variables exchanged with the simulator. The framework is general, but the case study focuses on physics-informed neural-network surrogates of second-, fourth-, and sixth-order synchronous-machine models. Results show that good stand-alone surrogate accuracy does not by itself guarantee accurate in-simulator behavior, that the largest discrepancies concentrate in stressed operating regions, and that small equation residuals do not necessarily imply small state-trajectory errors.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2603.17836

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