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Papers Causal Inference

“Causal Inference” 태그가 달린 논문 2,149편 · 필터 해제

Pragmatic DML with AI-Learned Representations

2026-10-01 · Andres Aradillas Fernandez, Victor Chernozhukov, Carlos Cinelli, Sven Klaassen 외 arxiv

Text, images, and other rich covariates are increasingly compressed into AI-learned representations and then used as controls in causal analysis. We study when this approach is valid and develop a practical framework for…

Representation LearningCausal Inference

Covariate Selection for Doubly Robust Double/debiased Machine Learning Estimators for Causal Inference

2026-09-15 · Muwon Kwon, Peter M. Steiner arxiv

High-dimensional data create challenges for causal effect estimation because identifying the covariates needed for correct model specification becomes increasingly difficult. Double/debiased machine learning (DML) facili…

Causal Inference

Causal Foundation Models

2026-09-02 · Christopher Stith, Hossein Rahmani, Jesse C. Cresswell hf

Causal inference is the practice of estimating the effect of a treatment or intervention from data. It traditionally requires a bespoke pipeline for every new problem: first proposing a causal mechanism, selecting a comp…

Causal Inference

Learning to Allocate Incentives for Incentivized Advertising via Offline Model-Based Reinforcement Learning

2026-08-28 · Zilin Zhao, Han Yang, Tianpei Yang, Fangsheng Huang 외 arxiv

Complete your ad view and grab a 5-cent bonus! In incentivized advertising, a platform promises users a bonus before observing downstream ad revenue, encouraging them to click and complete ads. It must balance the incent…

Reinforcement LearningCausal InferenceOffline RL

4DStreamCtrl: Interactive Video Generation with Online 4D Control

2026-08-26 · Shiqian Li, Chenguo Lin, Zhiguang Liu, Yu Tang 외 arxiv

Generative video models now synthesize footage nearly indistinguishable from reality. Their promise as interactive tools hinges on fine-grained control of how objects and the camera move over time, yet each existing appr…

Video GenerationCausal Inference

Let Time Tell: Identification and Gaussian Process Estimation for Interrupted Time Series

2026-08-20 · Soonhong Cho arxiv

We study causal inference in interrupted time series designs where a treatment affects every unit simultaneously, so that the contemporaneous controls used by difference-in-differences and synthetic control are unavailab…

Causal Inference

A Causal Inference Approach for Evaluating Diagnostic Tests and AI-Enabled Medical Devices: From Effect Modification to Information-Augmented Decision-Making

2026-08-19 · Wenxin Zhang, Rachael Phillips, Mark van der Laan arxiv

Diagnostic medical tests and devices provide useful information for evaluating the potential benefits and risks of therapeutic treatments. However, unlike treatments, their impact on health outcomes is generally indirect…

Causal Inference

Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization

2026-08-13 · Jiayi Dan, Bo Li, Lu Deng, Yong Wang arxiv

Post-click conversion rate (CVR) is a key metric in various scenarios including e-commerce and advertising, reflecting the efficiency and user experience in the second stage of the conversion process. Estimating the caus…

Causal Inference

Discovering Efficient and Explainable Communication Topologies for LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems via Causal Inference

2026-08-13 · Junzhi Li, Peng He, Qirui Ji, Wei Wang 외 arxiv

The performance of large language model (LLM)-based multi-agent systems (MAS) largely depends on effective communication topologies. Existing topology generation methods, however, typically learn communication topologies…

Causal Inference

Causal Inference with Unstructured Outcomes

2026-08-04 · Kevin Christian Wibisono, Yixin Wang arxiv

Causal inference has traditionally centered on scalar outcomes: whether a patient recovers, how much a worker earns, or how many visits a website receives. Modern studies increasingly ask causal questions about outcomes …

Causal Inference

Causal Inference with Unstructured Treatments

2026-08-01 · Kevin Christian Wibisono, Yixin Wang arxiv

Causal inference usually concerns a scalar treatment, yet in many problems the treatment is unstructured: a text, an image, or a sequence of clinical decisions. Consider an instructor writing a course description to attr…

Causal Inference

Doubly Robust Functional Representation Learning for Longitudinal Causal Inference with Irregular Histories

2026-07-30 · Mengfei Ran, Yifeng Shen, Ruijie Guan arxiv

Longitudinal causal studies often record histories as irregular functional fragments: laboratory values, physiologic signals, sensor streams, and image-derived summaries measured at unequal and informative times. Standar…

Representation LearningCausal InferencePoint Clouds

Eco3S: Complex Socio-Economic System Simulation via Agent-Based Models

2026-07-29 · Shaopeng Wei, Yufei Cheng, Wenxi Sun, Yepeng Ding 외 arxiv

The rapid development of large language models (LLMs) has renewed interest in agent-based modeling (ABM). However, current LLM-based ABM research faces several key challenges: modeling evolving agent-environment interact…

Causal Inference

A cubical formalisation of topos causal models: intervention, sheaf gluing, and the intuitionistic do-calculus

2026-07-17 · Karen Sargsyan arxiv

Topos causal models recast causal inference inside a topos: a causal world is a presheaf, an intervention is a characteristic map into the subobject classifier, and reasoning is carried out in the intuitionistic internal…

Causal Inference

Causal Inference for Sequential Settings under Interference and Latent Confounding

2026-07-16 · Phevos Paschalidis, Constantinos Daskalakis, Devavrat Shah arxiv

We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings. Specifically, we consider settings where the binary outcomes over N units are Markovian across T time steps. At each time step,…

Causal Inference

Rare Concept Generation via Counterfactual Inference in Diffusion Models

2026-07-16 · Zhengyuan Jiang, Haipeng Liu, Meng Wang, Yang Wang arxiv

Rare concept generation focuses on synthesizing customized images conditioned on text prompts that describe objects with unusual attributes. Previous works failed to align the generated images with rare concepts, resulti…

Image GenerationCausal Inference

Contrast-Free ICA and Causal Inference via Wasserstein Distances to the Gaussian

2026-07-14 · Félix Laplante, Christophe Ambroise, Pierre Humbert arxiv

We study the squared $2$-Wasserstein distance to the standard Gaussian as a non-Gaussianity criterion and use it for linear Independent Component Analysis (ICA) and causal discovery in Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models …

Causal Inference

Solution of the Hempel's statistical ambiguity problem and Causal AI

2026-07-14 · Evgenii Vityaev arxiv

This paper addresses Carl Hempel's longstanding problem of statistical ambiguity in inductive-statistical inference, in which contradictory predictions are derived from statistical laws. To avoid such predictions, Carl H…

Causal Inference

Demonstration of the common dual-channel feature decoupling characteristic of front-door mediation causal inference methods in whole-slice image classification

2026-07-14 · Zhirui Zhang, Tianhang Nan, Yong Ding, Zhuolun Song 외 arxiv

Causal inference using front door intervention and multi-instance learning (MIL) has advanced the analysis of Whole Slide Images (WSI) in digital pathology. These methods adjust feature distributions of subtle evidence s…

Image ClassificationCausal Inference

The Spectral Structure of Latent Treatment Effects

2026-07-12 · Hamza Virk, Bijan Mazaheri, Yihren Wu arxiv

Identifying heterogeneous treatment effects under unobserved confounding is central in observational causal inference. In proxy models with a discrete latent confounder, prior Synthetic Potential Outcomes (SPO) [Mazaheri…

Causal Inference
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