paper-with-me

Papers

Information-Theoretic Scoring Rules to Learn Additive Bayesian Network Applied to Epidemiology

2018-08-03 · Gilles Kratzer, Reinhard Furrer

Bayesian network modelling is a well adapted approach to study messy and highly correlated datasets which are very common in, e.g., systems epidemiology. A popular approach to learn a Bayesian network from an observational datasets is to identify the maximum a posteriori network in a search-and-score approach. Many scores have been proposed both Bayesian or frequentist based. In an applied perspective, a suitable approach would allow multiple distributions for the data and is robust enough to run autonomously. A promising framework to compute scores are generalized linear models. Indeed, there exists fast algorithms for estimation and many tailored solutions to common epidemiological issues. The purpose of this paper is to present an R package abn that has an implementation of multiple frequentist scores and some realistic simulations that show its usability and performance. It includes features to deal efficiently with data separation and adjustment which are very common in systems epidemiology.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:1808.01126

Code (0)

등록된 구현이 없습니다.

Tasks

Epidemiology

Similar Papers 제목 키워드 기반

On Training Survival Models with Scoring Rules

2024-03-19 · Philipp Kopper, David Rügamer, Raphael Sonabend, Bernd Bischl 외

Scoring rules are an established way of comparing predictive performances across model classes. In the context of survival analysis, they require adaptation in order to accommodate censoring. This work investigates using…

Additive modelsscoring ruleSurvival Analysis

Pandora's Regret: A Proper Scoring Rule for Evaluating Sequential Search

2026-05-03 · Gerardo A. Flores, Yash Deshpande, Jannis R. Brea, Ashia C. Wilson arxiv

In sequential search, alternatives are tested until the true class is found. Standard proper scoring rules like log loss are local, ignoring the ranking of competitors and misaligning model evaluation with search utility…

Surrogate Scoring Rules

2018-02-26 · Yang Liu, Juntao Wang, Yi-Ling Chen

Strictly proper scoring rules (SPSR) are incentive compatible for eliciting information about random variables from strategic agents when the principal can reward agents after the realization of the random variables. The…

Scoring Rules for Performative Binary Prediction

2022-07-05 · Alan Chan

We construct a model of expert prediction where predictions can influence the state of the world. Under this model, we show through theoretical and numerical results that proper scoring rules can incentivize experts to m…

Prediction

How Proper Scoring Rules Shape LLM Forecasting

2026-08-28 · Benjamin Turtel, Paul Wilczewski, Kris Skotheim, Ville A. Satopää 외 arxiv

This paper evaluates how reward function choice shapes the performance and behavior of LLM forecasters. We compare five proper scoring rules as training objectives for binary forecasts of resolved real-world events. Alth…