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Optimizing Portfolio Management and Risk Assessment in Digital Assets Using Deep Learning for Predictive Analysis

2024-02-25 · Qishuo Cheng, Le Yang, Jiajian Zheng, Miao Tian, Duan Xin

Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved. First of all, the prediction mode of stocks is singular; often, only one trading expert is trained by a model, and the trading decision is solely based on the prediction results of the model. Secondly, the data source used by the model is relatively simple, and only considers the data of the stock itself, ignoring the impact of the whole market risk on the stock. In this paper, the DQN algorithm is introduced into asset management portfolios in a novel and straightforward way, and the performance greatly exceeds the benchmark, which fully proves the effectiveness of the DRL algorithm in portfolio management. This also inspires us to consider the complexity of financial problems, and the use of algorithms should be fully combined with the problems to adapt. Finally, in this paper, the strategy is implemented by selecting the assets and actions with the largest Q value. Since different assets are trained separately as environments, there may be a phenomenon of Q value drift among different assets (different assets have different Q value distribution areas), which may easily lead to incorrect asset selection. Consider adding constraints so that the Q values of different assets share a Q value distribution to improve results.

📄 PDF Abstract BibTeX arXiv:2402.15994

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Methods 이 논문이 사용한 방법론

Convolution A convolution is a type of matrix operation, consisting of a kernel, a small matrix of weights, that slides over input data performing element-wise multiplication with the…
Dense Connections Dense Connections, or Fully Connected Connections, are a type of layer in a deep neural network that use a linear operation where every input is connected to every output…
Q-Learning Q-Learning is an off-policy temporal difference control algorithm: $$Q\left(S\_{t}, A\_{t}\right) \leftarrow Q\left(S\_{t}, A\_{t}\right) + \alpha\left[R_{t+1} +…
DQN A DQN, or Deep Q-Network, approximates a state-value function in a Q-Learning framework with a neural network. In the Atari…

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