Transfer Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting
Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as an input for forecasting. A collection of models have been proposed for this task, but the fundamental question on how to use the available big data is often neglected. In this paper, we propose to use transfer learning as a tool for utilizing information from other electricity price markets for forecasting. We pre-train a neural network model on source markets and finally do a fine-tuning for the target market. Moreover, we test different ways to use the rich input data from various electricity price markets. Our experiments on four different day-ahead markets indicate that transfer learning improves the electricity price forecasting performance in a statistically significant manner. Furthermore, we compare our results with stateof-the-art methods in a rolling window scheme to demonstrate the performance of the transfer learning approach.
Code (1)
Tasks
Transfer LearningSimilar Papers 제목 키워드 기반
Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity markets
In our paper we analyze the relationship between the day-ahead electricity price of the Energy Exchange Austria (EXAA) and other day-ahead electricity prices in Europe. We focus on markets, which settle their prices afte…
Anomaly Detection in California Electricity Price Forecasting: Enhancing Accuracy and Reliability Using Principal Component Analysis
Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting has significant practical implications for grid management, renewable energy integration, power system planning, and price volatility management. This study focuses on …
Anomaly DetectionManagementWholesale Electricity Price Forecasting using Integrated Long-term Recurrent Convolutional Network Model
Electricity price is a key factor affecting the decision-making for all market participants. Accurate forecasting of electricity prices is very important and is also very challenging since electricity price is highly vol…
Decision MakingBayesian Hierarchical Probabilistic Forecasting of Intraday Electricity Prices
We address the need for forecasting methodologies that handle large uncertainties in electricity prices for continuous intraday markets by incorporating parameter uncertainty and using a broad set of covariables. This st…
feature selectionElectricity Price Forecasting Model based on Gated Recurrent Units
The participation of consumers and producers in demand response programs has increased in smart grids, which reduces investment and operation costs of power systems. Also, with the advent of renewable energy sources, the…