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Papers Probabilistic Programming

“Probabilistic Programming” 태그가 달린 논문 273편 · 필터 해제

Rotation Invariant Householder Parameterization for Bayesian PCA

2019-05-12 · Rajbir S. Nirwan, Nils Bertschinger

We consider probabilistic PCA and related factor models from a Bayesian perspective. These models are in general not identifiable as the likelihood has a rotational symmetry. This gives rise to complicated posterior dist…

Probabilistic Programming

Modular Deep Probabilistic Programming

2019-05-01 · ICLR 2019 5 · Zhenwen Dai, Eric Meissner, Neil D. Lawrence

Modularity is a key feature of deep learning libraries but has not been fully exploited for probabilistic programming. We propose to improve modularity of probabilistic programming language by offering not only plain pro…

Probabilistic ProgrammingVariational Inference

A Bayesian Monte Carlo approach for predicting the spread of infectious diseases

2019-04-26 · biorxiv, PLOS ONE (under review) 2019 4 · Olivera Stojanović, Johannes Leugering, Gordon Pipa, Stéphane Ghozzi 외

In this paper, a simple yet interpretable, probabilistic model is proposed for the prediction of reported case counts of infectious diseases. A spatio-temporal kernel is derived from training data to capture the typical …

Bayesian InferenceDisease PredictionEpidemiologyMultivariate Time Series Forecasting+1

Reversible Jump Probabilistic Programming

2019-04-16 · David A. Roberts, Marcus Gallagher, Thomas Taimre

In this paper we present a method for automatically deriving a Reversible Jump Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler from probabilistic programs that specify the target and proposal distributions. The main challenge in automa…

Bayesian InferenceCode GenerationProbabilistic Programming

The Random Conditional Distribution for Higher-Order Probabilistic Inference

2019-03-25 · Zenna Tavares, Xin Zhang, Edgar Minaysan, Javier Burroni 외

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional prop…

FairnessProbabilistic Programming

Applying Probabilistic Programming to Affective Computing

2019-03-15 · Desmond C. Ong, Harold Soh, Jamil Zaki, Noah D. Goodman

Affective Computing is a rapidly growing field spurred by advancements in artificial intelligence, but often, held back by the inability to translate psychological theories of emotion into tractable computational models.…

Probabilistic Programming

Efficient Search-Based Weighted Model Integration

2019-03-13 · Zhe Zeng, Guy Van Den Broeck

Weighted model integration (WMI) extends Weighted model counting (WMC) to the integration of functions over mixed discrete-continuous domains. It has shown tremendous promise for solving inference problems in graphical m…

Computational EfficiencymodelProbabilistic Programming

LF-PPL: A Low-Level First Order Probabilistic Programming Language for Non-Differentiable Models

2019-03-06 · Yuan Zhou, Bradley J. Gram-Hansen, Tobias Kohn, Tom Rainforth 외

We develop a new Low-level, First-order Probabilistic Programming Language (LF-PPL) suited for models containing a mix of continuous, discrete, and/or piecewise-continuous variables. The key success of this language and …

Probabilistic Programming

Tensor Variable Elimination for Plated Factor Graphs

2019-02-08 · Fritz Obermeyer, Eli Bingham, Martin Jankowiak, Justin Chiu 외

A wide class of machine learning algorithms can be reduced to variable elimination on factor graphs. While factor graphs provide a unifying notation for these algorithms, they do not provide a compact way to express repe…

Music ModelingProbabilistic ProgrammingSentiment Analysistensor algebra

ProBO: Versatile Bayesian Optimization Using Any Probabilistic Programming Language

2019-01-31 · Willie Neiswanger, Kirthevasan Kandasamy, Barnabas Poczos, Jeff Schneider 외

Optimizing an expensive-to-query function is a common task in science and engineering, where it is beneficial to keep the number of queries to a minimum. A popular strategy is Bayesian optimization (BO), which leverages …

Bayesian OptimizationGaussian ProcessesProbabilistic Programming

Doubly Bayesian Optimization

2018-12-11 · Alexander Lavin

Probabilistic programming systems enable users to encode model structure and naturally reason about uncertainties, which can be leveraged towards improved Bayesian optimization (BO) methods. Here we present a probabilist…

Bayesian OptimizationProbabilistic Programming

Bayesian Layers: A Module for Neural Network Uncertainty

2018-12-10 · NeurIPS 2019 12 · Dustin Tran, Michael W. Dusenberry, Mark van der Wilk, Danijar Hafner

We describe Bayesian Layers, a module designed for fast experimentation with neural network uncertainty. It extends neural network libraries with drop-in replacements for common layers. This enables composition via a uni…

Gaussian ProcessesMachine TranslationProbabilistic ProgrammingTranslation

Nested Reasoning About Autonomous Agents Using Probabilistic Programs

2018-12-04 · Iris Rubi Seaman, Jan-Willem van de Meent, David Wingate

As autonomous agents become more ubiquitous, they will eventually have to reason about the plans of other agents, which is known as theory of mind reasoning. We develop a planning-as-inference framework in which agents p…

Probabilistic Programming

Bayesian Inference of Temporal Task Specifications from Demonstrations

2018-12-01 · NeurIPS 2018 12 · Ankit Shah, Pritish Kamath, Julie A. Shah, Shen Li

When observing task demonstrations, human apprentices are able to identify whether a given task is executed correctly long before they gain expertise in actually performing that task. Prior research into learning from de…

Bayesian InferenceProbabilistic Programming

Joint Mapping and Calibration via Differentiable Sensor Fusion

2018-11-21 · Jonathan P. Chen, Fritz Obermeyer, Vladimir Lyapunov, Lionel Gueguen 외

We leverage automatic differentiation (AD) and probabilistic programming to develop an end-to-end optimization algorithm for batch triangulation of a large number of unknown objects. Given noisy detections extracted from…

ClusteringProbabilistic ProgrammingSensor FusionVariational Inference

Effect Handling for Composable Program Transformations in Edward2

2018-11-15 · Dave Moore, Maria I. Gorinova

Algebraic effects and handlers have emerged in the programming languages community as a convenient, modular abstraction for controlling computational effects. They have found several applications including concurrent pro…

Probabilistic Programming

A Factor Graph Approach to Automated Design of Bayesian Signal Processing Algorithms

2018-11-08 · Marco Cox, Thijs van de Laar, Bert de Vries

The benefits of automating design cycles for Bayesian inference-based algorithms are becoming increasingly recognized by the machine learning community. As a result, interest in probabilistic programming frameworks has m…

Bayesian Inferenceparameter estimationProbabilistic ProgrammingState Space Models+1

Simple, Distributed, and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming

2018-11-05 · NeurIPS 2018 12 · Dustin Tran, Matthew Hoffman, Dave Moore, Christopher Suter 외

We describe a simple, low-level approach for embedding probabilistic programming in a deep learning ecosystem. In particular, we distill probabilistic programming down to a single abstraction---the random variable. Our l…

GPUProbabilistic Programming

Probabilistic Programming with Densities in SlicStan: Efficient, Flexible and Deterministic

2018-11-02 · Maria I. Gorinova, Andrew D. Gordon, Charles Sutton

Stan is a probabilistic programming language that has been increasingly used for real-world scalable projects. However, to make practical inference possible, the language sacrifices some of its usability by adopting a bl…

Probabilistic Programming

Pyro: Deep Universal Probabilistic Programming

2018-10-18 · Eli Bingham, Jonathan P. Chen, Martin Jankowiak, Fritz Obermeyer 외

Pyro is a probabilistic programming language built on Python as a platform for developing advanced probabilistic models in AI research. To scale to large datasets and high-dimensional models, Pyro uses stochastic variati…

GPUProbabilistic ProgrammingVariational Inference
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